
Victor Sperandeo has been a professional trader for many years and has an unparalleled trading record. His annualized rate of return for the years 1978 to 1987 are as follows:
1978 - 115.26%
1979 - 74.48%
1980 - 98.49%
1981 - 49.99%
1982 - 127.44%
1983 - 30.79%
1984 - 12.99%
1985 - 9.58%
1986 - 10.72%
1987 - 165.36%
It is one thing to post terrific gains during boom years like the late 1990’s, but this type of consistent trading can only be the result of a disciplined approach. During these years, Vic posted an incredible 10-year annual rate of return of 70.71% while the S&P posted a bullish 11.5%.
Here is an excerpt for his book, Trader Vic - Methods of a Wall Street Master.
Rule Number 11:
Never buy just because the price is low. Never sell just because the price is high. Avoid thinking in terms like, “This thing is at historical lows, it just can’t go any lower!” or “This thing just can’t go any higher, I’ve just got to sell it!” The fact is, unless you see some sign of a change in trend, the chances are that the trend will continue. When a market is at historical highs or lows, but there is no sign of a change of trend, my advice is to leave it alone and wait for signs of a change of trend. Trade with the trend and be patient.
That is some good advice in a market that all expect to bottom and reverse. If a Dow 7700 or 7500 must be the absolute bottom because ‘recent’ technical history says so, think again. Calling the bottom could prove profitable if your crystal ball is working overtime, but the smart money will wait for a true trend reversal before putting cash on the long side of the trade.